Forecast Accuracy

A public, verifiable track record of Tiresis CVE predictions vs real-world exploitation. Predictions are validated against CISA KEV additions and confirmed incident data.

Tiresis has logged 406 CVE predictions since March 4, 2026. Predictions are validated after a minimum of 14 days — the first validations will appear here on March 18, 2026.

Validation checks whether predicted CVEs were subsequently added to CISA KEV or appeared in confirmed breach incidents — two independently verifiable signals.

Monthly Performance

Pending Predictions

0 predictions awaiting validation (14-day minimum window).

A prediction is marked confirmed if the CVE is added to CISA KEV after the prediction date, or appears in a confirmed breach incident. Predictions are validated after a minimum of 14 days. This page updates nightly. Read the full methodology →